# AFAD 2024-2028 Strategic Plan: Integrated Disaster Risk Management, Legislative Reform, and Technological Capacity Analysis

*Disaster · Rıdvan Bilgin · 2026-08-10*

Tags: Policy & DRR Framework

## From Sendai to the Field: A Constructive Overview of Türkiye's AFAD 2024–2028 Strategic Roadmap

A detailed technical review of the Republic of Türkiye Ministry of Interior Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) 2024–2028 Strategic Plan. This overview focuses on policy alignment, legislative modernization, decision-support architecture, operational metrics, and the 66 KPIs driving a 15.47 Billion TRY investment toward disaster resilience.

Executive Summary

The AFAD 2024–2028 Strategic Plan establishes a comprehensive 5-year roadmap structured around **6 Strategic Goals, 23 Objectives, and 66 Performance Indicators**, supported by an estimated total budget of **15.47 Billion TRY**. Developed in-house by AFAD's expert staff without external consultants, the plan directly integrates field realities from the February 6, 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes (Mw 7.7 & 7.6). It draws its global reference from the [UN Sendai Framework for DRR (2015–2030)](https://www.undrr.org/implementing-sendai-framework/what-sendai-framework) and aligns with Türkiye's 12th Development Plan. A core pillar of the strategy focuses on modernizing legacy legislation (dating back to 1959) to resolve jurisdictional overlaps, while scaling up technological infrastructure to support real-time, multi-agency coordination.

## 1. Global and National Policy Alignment

**The AFAD 2024-2028 Strategic Plan is structured to translate the high-level objectives of the Sendai Framework and the 12th Development Plan into measurable disaster management outcomes.** Preparation began in June 2022 under the guidelines of the [Presidential Strategy and Budget Office (SBB)](https://www.sbb.gov.tr/), ensuring vertical alignment between macroeconomic development targets and ground-level risk reduction operations.

Integration of 12th Development Plan (2024–2028) Measures:

- **Measure 543.4 & 830.1:** Finalization of multi-hazard risk maps and development of national/local disaster resilience strategies across sectors (industry, tourism, agriculture).
- **Measure 831.1, 831.3, 831.4:** Updating primary disaster legislation to scientific standards, drafting the overarching "Türkiye Disaster Management Strategy Document", and updating Provincial Risk Reduction Plans (İRAP).
- **Measure 832.2 & 835.1:** Establishing nationwide multi-hazard early warning prediction systems and completing Digital Radio System coverage across all 81 provinces.
- **Measure 836.1 & 864.1:** Finalizing the "Türkiye Post-Disaster Recovery Plan" (TASİP) and ensuring sustainable permanent housing for affected populations.

## 2. Institutional Framework and Legislative Evolution

**A key focus of the plan is the modernization of the foundational legislative framework.** The plan explicitly acknowledges that current operational structures—still partially based on Laws No. 7269 and 7126 (enacted in 1959)—require comprehensive updating to align with contemporary integrated disaster management principles.

### A. Addressing Jurisdictional Overlaps

The plan recognizes the need to resolve authorization conflicts between AFAD and the Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (ÇŞİDB) regarding site-selection, urban planning, and inspection processes to streamline post-disaster reconstruction.

### B. Revising the Disaster Services Law

Recognizing that Law No. 7269 requires a comprehensive overhaul, the plan initiates work to transform it into a modern "Services Law" that reflects current administrative and technological realities.

### C. Improving Stakeholder Legal Status

To enhance operational efficiency, the plan targets legal clarifications for AFAD volunteers and accredited NGOs—particularly regarding labor law protections during emergency deployments—supporting stronger public-private coordination.

## 3. The Integrated Disaster Management Plan Chain

**AFAD's operational continuity relies on a three-tiered plan structure that connects risk reduction, emergency response, and recovery.** This ecosystem ensures that pre-disaster mitigation efforts are directly linked to post-disaster reconstruction.

- **Preventive Phase (TARAP & İRAP):** The Türkiye Disaster Risk Reduction Plan (TARAP) and 81 Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction Plans (İRAP) were completed in 2021, identifying **12,890 concrete risk-reduction actions** at the local level.
- **Emergency Response Phase (TAMP):** The modular Türkiye Disaster Response Plan (TAMP) and Provincial Response Plans coordinate service groups and define solution-partner institutions for streamlined command and control.
- **Recovery Phase (TASİP):** The newly drafted Türkiye Post-Disaster Recovery Plan (TASİP) standardizes procedures for permanent housing, entitlement identification, and infrastructure rehabilitation to ensure rapid normalization.

## 4. Decision-Support, Early Warning, and Communication Technologies

**AFAD's technological infrastructure underpins real-time situational awareness.** The ecosystem features several proprietary platforms designed for interoperability and resilience.

### AYDES (Disaster Management & Decision Support)

The eTR award-winning backbone of TAMP. Integrates GIS and Remote Sensing technologies with over 500 spatial data layers across desktop, web, and mobile platforms.

### ARAS (Disaster Risk Reduction System)

Centralized hazard modeling platform operating across 81 provinces, housing national inventories for landslides, rockfalls, avalanches, and sinkholes.

### HAY & İKAS (Mass Warning & Siren Networks)

HAY broadcasts emergency alerts via SMS, CMAS, and mobile apps. İKAS deploys domestically produced siren hardware across all 81 provinces.

### ORKA, EATS & TDVMS

ORKA establishes wide-area digital radio communication. EATS tracks 87,135 response vehicles in real-time. TDVMS processes data from 1,187 seismic stations 24/7.

Administrative operations are supported by AFBİS, EBYS, the Uninterrupted and Secure Communication System (KGHS), and full open-source Pardus OS deployment across all provincial directorates.

## 5. Operational Field Data: The February 6 Earthquakes as a Stress Test

**The February 6, 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes were a critical stress test for AFAD's systems.** The operational data gathered from this event directly informed the baseline metrics for the 2024–2028 strategic targets.

### Verified Operational Metrics from the February 6, 2023 Earthquakes

### 35,250

SAR Personnel (11,488 Intl.)

### 650,000

Total Personnel Deployed

### 17,500

Air Sorties (Heli / Planes)

### 1,000,000+

Tents Dispatched

**Field Logistics:** 141 helicopters, 182 aircraft, 23 vessels, and 20,000 vehicles were mobilized. 312 mobile kitchens delivered an average of 4 million meals per day.

**Temporary Shelter:** 645,000 tents erected across 350 camps temporarily housed ~2.5 million people, while 1,188,218 survivors were hosted in KYK (477,952) and MEB (710,266) student dormitories.

**Recovery:** Debris from all 60,421 collapsed buildings was fully cleared. Across 18 provinces, 845,371 entitlement claims were evaluated, resulting in 441,741 final beneficiaries.

## 6. Performance Indicators and Budget Allocation

**The AFAD 2024-2028 Strategic Plan commits to 66 quantitative targets** with a weighted allocation toward risk reduction and response capacity, prioritizing a proactive stance.

### Selected Key Performance Indicators (Baseline 2023 → Target 2028)

| Code | Indicator | Baseline (2023) | Target (2028) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG1.1.1 | Uninterrupted uptime of seismic observation stations | 85% | 95% |
| PG1.3.1 | Area mapped using remote sensing (km², cumulative) | 0 | 50,000 |
| PG1.4.1 | Implemented structural prevention projects | 10 | 100 |
| PG2.1.1 | Citizens reached through awareness training | 87 Million | 112 Million |
| PG2.3.3 | Completion of Türkiye Disaster Management Strategy Document | 10% | 100% |
| PG3.2.1 | Regional/National drills conducted | 0 | 30 |
| PG3.3.1 | Provinces equipped with Digital Radio System | 46 | 81 |
| PG3.3.4 | Trained SAR personnel (cumulative) | 15,465 | 140,000 |
| PG4.1.3 | Identification of temporary shelter reserve areas | 0% | 100% |
| PG4.2.1 | Operational logistics warehouses | 81 | 100 |
| PG6.6.4 | National disaster data management standards & system | 0% | 100% |

### Estimated Budget by Strategic Goal (2024–2028)

| Goal | Focus Area | Budget (TRY) | Approx. (USD)* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goal 1 | Risk Reduction Effectiveness | 5,254,500,000 | ~$164M |
| Goal 2 | Public & Institutional Preparedness | 466,250,000 | ~$15M |
| Goal 3 | Emergency Response & Coordination | 4,966,400,000 | ~$155M |
| Goal 4 | Post-Disaster Recovery & Shelter | 605,000,000 | ~$19M |
| Goal 5 | International Humanitarian Presence | 3,284,420,000 | ~$103M |
| Goal 6 | IT, Infrastructure & HR Capacity | 897,200,000 | ~$28M |
| TOTAL |  | 15,473,770,000 | ~$480M |

*USD equivalents are indicative conversions at the ~32 TRY/USD exchange rate prevailing during the plan’s announcement period in 2024, provided solely for international contextual reference; actual execution budgets are denominated in TRY.

## 7. Constructive Takeaways for International DRR Practitioners

**Türkiye's roadmap offers valuable benchmarks for nations enhancing their disaster resilience frameworks.** The plan demonstrates a clear institutional commitment to moving beyond reactive measures toward predictive and preventive capacity.

### 1. Scalable Capacity Building

The goal of expanding certified SAR staff from 15,465 to 140,000 represents a roughly 9-fold increase, addressing the critical need for state-wide, structured responder mobilization.

### 2. Proactive Legislative Governance

The explicit focus on overhauling 65-year-old disaster legislation reflects a strategic recognition that modern IT tools (AYDES/ARAS) require aligned administrative law to function effectively.

### 3. Investment in Prevention

Allocating approximately 34% of the total strategic budget to risk reduction (Goal 1) demonstrates a concrete shift toward [Sendai Framework Priority 3](https://www.undrr.org/implementing-sendai-framework/what-sendai-framework): investing in disaster risk reduction for resilience.

## References & Primary Sources

All quantitative figures in this overview are drawn directly from the official AFAD 2024–2028 Strategic Plan and cross-checked against the primary sources below.

## References

1. [Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD)](https://www.afad.gov.tr/stratejik-planlar) Strategic Plans (2024–2028). T.C. Ministry of Interior. afad.gov.tr/stratejik-planlar
2. [AFAD](https://www.afad.gov.tr/afad-2024-2028-stratejik-plani-yayimlandi) AFAD 2024–2028 Strategic Plan Published (official announcement). afad.gov.tr/afad-2024-2028-stratejik-plani-yayimlandi
3. [Presidential Strategy and Budget Office (SBB)](https://www.sbb.gov.tr/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/STRATEJIK-PLAN-2024-2028_03042024.pdf) Strategic Plan 2024–2028. sbb.gov.tr (PDF)
4. [United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)](https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030) Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. undrr.org
5. [UNDRR](https://www.undrr.org/implementing-sendai-framework/what-sendai-framework) What is the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction? (four priorities & seven targets). undrr.org/implementing-sendai-framework

Note

This overview is prepared as a neutral technical analysis of the AFAD 2024-2028 Strategic Plan. The data and projections are derived directly from the official document. The plan remains a dynamic roadmap; progress is subject to annual review and adaptive management.


## Frequently asked questions

**What is the primary reference framework for the AFAD 2024–2028 Strategic Plan?**

The plan is fundamentally aligned with the UN Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030) and structured to meet the disaster-specific measures outlined in Türkiye's 12th Development Plan (2024–2028).

**How does the plan address historical legislative challenges?**

The plan identifies the need to modernize foundational laws (dating back to 1959) to resolve jurisdictional overlaps—particularly between AFAD and spatial planning authorities—and initiates a legislative update roadmap to establish a modern 'Services Law' framework.

**What are the core operational plans structuring AFAD's approach?**

AFAD operates through a three-tiered structure: TARAP & İRAP for pre-disaster risk mitigation, TAMP for coordinated emergency response, and TASİP for structured post-disaster recovery.

**What technological systems support AFAD's integrated management?**

The ecosystem relies on the AYDES GIS-based decision support system, the ARAS hazard mapping platform, HAY & İKAS for mass early warnings, and ORKA for inter-agency digital radio communication.

**How did the February 6, 2023 earthquakes influence the plan's targets?**

Field data from the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes—mobilizing 650,000 personnel and over 1 million tents—directly informed the plan’s quantitative targets, including the roughly 9-fold expansion of certified SAR personnel and comprehensive temporary shelter reserve mapping.

Canonical: https://ridvanbilgin.com/afad-2024-2028-strategic-plan/